Saturday, October 10, 2015

Don't Believe In Abrupt Sea Level Change - Know About It - 2

Pat of SNL
I. Some Background

What word do we use, when discussing climate change, to indicate we don't have a handle on it, don't have a clue, that a particular event is going to happen?

The word is "abrupt," which is usually attached to "climate change" in order to construct the phrase "abrupt climate change."

As an example: "Wow, that was abrupt climate change."

As I wrote in the first post of this series: "The word "abrupt" means 'sudden or unexpected' in any discipline of science" (Don't Believe In Abrupt Sea Level Change - Know About It).

 II. Use "That Was Educational" - Not "That Was Abrupt"

I think "that was educational" would be better than "that was abrupt," because climate change theory has been around for a long time, and it declares clearly what is coming.

But, more than that, incredulously, Oil-Qaeda was the originator of the current meaning of the phrase "abrupt climate change," which means "who knows what will happen when" (The Exceptional American Denial).

Let's consider that a bit more closely, for a moment:
"As Croasdale’s team was closely studying the impact of climate change on the company’s operations, Exxon and its worldwide affiliates were crafting a public policy position that sought to downplay the certainty of global warming.

The gulf between Exxon’s internal and external approach to climate change from the 1980s through the early 2000s was evident in a review of hundreds of internal documents, decades of peer-reviewed published material and dozens of interviews conducted by Columbia University’s Energy & Environmental Reporting Project and the Los Angeles Times." - (What Exxon knew about the Earth's melting Arctic)

"Internal fossil fuel industry memos reveal decades of disinformation — a deliberate campaign to deceive the public that continues even today.

For nearly three decades, many of the world's largest fossil fuel companies have knowingly worked to deceive the public about the realities and risks of climate change.

Their deceptive tactics are now highlighted in this set of seven "deception dossiers"—collections of internal company and trade association documents that have either been leaked to the public, come to light through lawsuits, or been disclosed through Freedom of Information (FOIA) requests.

Each collection provides an illuminating inside look at this coordinated campaign of deception, an effort underwritten by ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, BP, Shell, Peabody Energy, and other members of the fossil fuel industry." - (The Private Empire's Social Media Hit Squads, quoting the Union of Concerned Scientists)
The use of the term "abrupt climate change" furthers the propaganda of uncertainty, when actually, in reality, the climate change future is quite clear.

III. The Fundamental Double-Down Posing As Strength

Regular readers know that I have been chronicling the dearth of understanding which the scientific community at large has had on certain sea level subjects.

Recently, that has been focused on sea level fall (SLF), and I have listed posts that deal with the subject time and again (e.g. The Gravity of Sea Level Change; Proof of Concept , 2, 3, 4, 5; New Type of SLC Detection Model, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7; Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six", 2).

Even yesterday, when a Boston Globe article began to let the cat out of the bag, I protested their implication that the ignorance had subsided (Blind Willie McTell News - 6).

IV. Another Case In Point

While perusing articles about "sea level fall" (sometimes called "sea level drop"), I have found many cases where the propaganda has shut down the guard house of the mind of inquiring people, and has thereby caused them to swallow various cultural trances whole hog (Choose Your Trances Carefully).

Fig. 1 NOAA SLR/SLR map
Some of that acceptance is normal, but some of it is abnormal (The Pillars of Knowledge: Faith and Trust?).

On the Earth Science blog, the question Why is relative sea-level falling in Hudson Bay? was asked.

They linked to Fig. 2 adding that "this map is wonderful," without asking any questions to try to falsify their hypothesis.

For example, they say "when the ice sheet melts" without asking why does sea level fall only in places where large ice sheets on land are melting and calving into the sea?

In other words, those land masses of Greenland and Antarctica are not uplifting, not rising.

Dark Blue is SLF (see video)
The great weight of the ice sheets are still on the land under those ice sheets, but the sea level is falling near them, out to quite a distance (the "hinge point").

The uplift takes place after the ice is gone, yet Greenland and Antarctica are still covered deep with ice.

And what about those places out in the middle of the ocean, what is causing higher SLR there than in other places, Atlantis?

Why is SLR taking place all around Australia (Proof of Concept - 4)?

Which was not covered with ice sheets.

The answer on another blog had the same rap, although it was a more humorous application of myth:
Rocks seem so very solid from our puny human perspective. Things are rock hard, rock solid, and are reliable as the rock itself. But from a geological perspective, rock is an elastic sheet that encompasses our planet in a thin, flexible membrane that responds to every disturbance.
(Why Are Sea Levels Dropping In Places Closest To The Melting Glaciers?). Yep, rocks are not as hard as you thought folks. /snark

In the video below, Dr. Mitrovica discusses an Oil-Qaeda created denier myth that the ocean has been rising or falling for thousands of years.

He shows how pathetically false that "easy to debunk" myth is.

By the same token, if land in the Hudson Bay area had been uplifiting since the glaciers melted 10,000 years ago, the relative SLF would have been 30,000 mm at what they say is today's rate of 3 mm yr  (10,000 * 3mm = 30,000 ÷ 304.8mm (1 ft.) = 98.43 ft).

Their hypothesis does not fit all of the facts, thus it is falsified, and they should get up to speed on the main causes of SLF.

By the same token, SLR is not caused by land sinking, because SLR and SLF are both taking place in areas where the land is not moving up or down.

V. That Was Educational

Fig. 2 Hudson Bay SLF
The graphs I have been doing show educational changes in sea level that happen quickly.

Both up (SLR) and down (SLF), as would be expected when ice sheet melt and calving at different locations is taking place independently, but at the same time, and in oscillating degrees, changing quantities of melt and calving.

The graph at Fig. 2 shows that  SLC takes place in an up and down, jagged edge process, not in a slow geological time scale like when "rocks like granite and flint bend and stretch after being squeezed for so long."

The same is true for both SLR and SLF because they both come from the same source, which is not land going up one year, then going down the next year.
Fig. 3

The graph at Fig. 3 shows the SLF process over a longer period of time than Fig. 2 because it has a projection of future events.

It is time for the scientists like Dr. Mitrovica to make sure the message gets out to scientists, universities, and the news media.

His wishful thinking about it (thinking that all of the professionals know about and talk about gravitational, rotational, and axial forces working together to redistribute melt water and ice bergs from the great ice sheets) is anathema to actually spreading the news via the news media folk who contact him.

VI. Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL)

Regular readers know that Dredd Blog uses data from PSMSL, a reliable and reputable source.

On their FAQ page the following statements are made:
"While global average sea level change gives a good measure of the total variation of heat and mass in the ocean, no location on earth will observe this average value." (FAQ #7, emphasis added)

"There are two different types of ice to consider: sea ice and ice grounded on land. First, if all the floating sea ice in the world melted, there would be nearly no change in sea level, because floating ice displaces its own weight of water. However, if land ice melts, the melt water will raise sea level. All the world's glaciers and small ice caps, outside of Greenland and Antarctica, contain approximately 0.4 m of sea level equivalent. The large Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets contain approximately 7 and 57 m respectively. Consequently, if all of the world’s ice melted in a very much warmer world, sea level would be approximately 65 m higher.

Note, though, that when land ice melts the resulting sea level rise will not be uniform. As the ice melts, the land beneath the ice sheet rebounds and the gravitation pull associated with the ice sheet decreases. These both contribute to a sea level fall near the ice sheets. Conversely, far from the ice sheet, the sea level rise would be greater than the global average. There are also dynamic oceanographic effects associated with the cold, fresh melt water entering the oceans. These dynamic sea level changes are more difficult to model, but are also important to understand future sea level change." (FAQ #11, emphasis added)
(PSMSL FAQ). The big players, the major league, in SLC (SLF & SLR) are the ice sheets, which could raise ocean levels 65 m (213.25 ft) at full melt.

Since nothing else even comes close to that, it is utterly irrelevant to mention them for most comprehensive SLC purposes ("majoring in the minor league").

IMO, their use is fundamentally suspect as being part of the propaganda of uncertainty.

Who else but Oil-Qaeda would want SLF and SLR to be considered utterly natural rather than being fundamentally caused by the use of their commercial products?

VII. Conclusion

Dr. Mitrovica has been very helpful and enlightening by resurrecting the work of Woodward, who did a paper about it in 1888 (On the West Side of Zero). 

But, by the same token he should know that discoveries can be buried deep by Oil-Qaeda operatives and their big-money propaganda budgets.

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

Professor Jerry Mitrovica, Harvard University, comes to D.C. to 'splain stuff:



Friday, October 9, 2015

Blind Willie McTell News - 6

Downtown where?
I. Background

Regular readers know that I have been focusing on a little understood aspect of fossil fuel burning induced global warming induced climate change induced sea level change (SLC).

Some examples: (The Gravity of Sea Level Change, Proof of Concept , 2, 3, 4, 5, New Type of SLC Detection Model, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six", 2).

I am talking about the apex of general SLC posts that were once less focused, and more like the general conversation about SLC (Series Posts @ SEA LEVEL CHANGE).

I have always maintained that the McTell News is part of the epigovernment, which is immune from accountability (Blind Willie McTell News, Follow The Immunity, MOMCOM: A Mean Welfare Queen), so I was posting about what I did not think was going to be getting out otherwise.

II. A Leak In The Dam News

McTell News is, unlike S. Carolina, always watching for leaks in their dam-up of reality, not wanting anything but pabulum to flow to the people, especially when it comes to things that are utterly out of control, like SLC.

In that lite, an article in the Boston Globe is certainly a leak in that dam (send in the clowns plumbers).

The article in the globe is along the lines of the type of dynamics of SLC which I have been focusing on recently.

In true media fashion, the article has some "isn't that special" errors which I will talk about later in this post.

But first, let's focus on the accurate portions of the piece:
This isn’t at all how it actually works, though. Massive ice sheets, like the one in Greenland, exert a gravitational pull on the surrounding water. When ice from the sheet melts, it adds water to the world’s oceans, yes, but the melting also reduces the mass of the ice sheet, which reduces its gravitational pull. As a result, water flows away from the diminished ice sheet, which actually leads to sea levels falling in the exact place where the ice melted.
(The very weird physics of sea-level changes). My initial reaction to the piece was "A culture that thinks reality is 'very weird' is in for trouble and surprises."

III. The Errors In The Boston Globe Piece

The media puppetry is quite tricky, which is no surprise to those who double and triple check up on McTell News stories, to see the less than amusing ways they tend to juke regularly.

A case in point, in the Boston Globe piece, is alluded to here:
The idea that gravitational forces affect sea level is not new. It was in the air in the 1800s, but largely forgotten afterward. Mitrovica says he “reacquainted” the scientific community with these factors with an article he published in Nature about a decade ago. Today they are fully accepted. Alley describes Mitrovica’s work modeling the forces that affect sea-level as “fascinating, visionary, reliable, and important.”
(ibid, emphasis added). Well then, it should be easy to find recent main stream media (such as the Boston Globe) pieces talking about the east coast being one of the places where SLC is manifested now, and in the future, by a higher sea level rise (SLR) than other areas (not to mention sea level fall (SLF) in Alaska).

Don't hold your breath, the suppression of this science which was first intimated in 1888 is par for the course (On the West Side of Zero).

On to another distortion:
This approach can be more accurate than trying to measure the melting of ice sheets directly.
...
“No one talks about global average sea levels anymore,” says Mitrovica.
...
“The real focus is on fingerprinting sources.”
(ibid). Wrong, Jerry needs to read more widely in the news media where not a word is spoken about it (and BTW the satellites such as Cryosat-2 and GRACE are the most accurate means of detecting ice sheet volume and mass loss).

IV. The Boston Globe Piece Is A Step In The Reality Direction

Don't get me wrong, I do not want to throw the baby out along with the bath tub SLR water.

The globe article is a step in the direction of reality, but it is nevertheless a baby step.

V. Conclusion

Some readers have been unhappy that I have researched this issue in depth ad nauseum.

"Get used to it" ... Dredd Blog does posts about social rust, garbage, death, psychopathic dynamics, and all other such things done by those whom you think are all "let's take bitchin' care of the public."

Glittering shiny objects not included here.

Furnish your own batteries.

Undiluted reality is what Dredd Blog does.

The previous post in this series is here.

Thursday, October 8, 2015

Proof of Concept - 5

Fig. 1 Area of sea level fall (SLF)
The non-intuitive aspect of sea level change (SLC) is sea level fall (SLF).

We constantly hear "global mean average" sea level rise (SLR).

In a recent post I looked into an area where the fingerprint hypothesis, a concept that is founded on the physics of gravity, is clearly and firmly supported by the evidence (New Type of SLC Detection Model - 6).

Using a wide range of tide gauge station records from Alaska to Southern California, the SLC predicted by the "gravity-loss causes SLF" hypothesis, involving both SLF and SLR, was shown to be as predicted.

The area shown in Fig. 1 is another area where SLF is predicted by the hypothesis (see depiction in Fig. 2).

Fig. 2  Baltic Sea & Gulf of Bothnia SLF
The bodies of water involved include all or parts of the Norwegian Sea, Barents Sea, North Sea, Baltic Sea, and the Gulf of Bothnia.

I did graphs of tide gauge stations in these areas to test if SLF is real in those areas as hypothesized (Fig. 3 - Fig. 19).

The hypothesis holds up because there is serious SLF just like there was over at Glacier Bay in Alaska (Proof of Concept - 3).

Fig. 3
It is uncanny that newspapers in the state of Alaska wonder why the sea level there is falling (Alaska Dispatch News).

Fig. 4
But, it is beyond belief that scientific writers five years after that article do not mention SLF in their publications, but instead continue to call the Alaska glacial melt a major contributor to SLR (Discover).

In other words, there is no mention of SLF in the Discover article, nor is there any mention in the Alaska newspaper article that SLF is to be expected as the Glacier Bay ice melts and calves into the sea, thereby releasing the gravitational hold on the sea water near the coast.

And the comments show a general brain black-out in that regard, parroting the media induced trance like state of cluelessness (Choose Your Trances Carefully, 2, 3, 4, 5).

Fig. 5
While pondering that, I wondered whether or not the Scandinavians are as clueless about ice sheet gravity as Americans seem to be.
Fig. 6

A publication that should know better went to great lengths to explain that any SLF is because the Earth is like the dood in the trivial lyrics: "like a rubber ball I'll come bouncing back to you."

The piece is without a mention of the word "gravity" or anything else essential (Why Are Sea Levels Dropping In Places Closest To The Melting Glaciers?).

Fig. 7
To be fair, it is true that rebound takes place in cases where ice sheet induced deformity has taken place, but it is the last thing to happen, not the first (The Gravity of Sea Level Change).

Fig. 8

When we look at the historical facts in tide gauge station records, we see SLF having taken place all through the areas that Greenland melt and Scandinavian glacial melt would be expected to cause SLF.

The evidence is unequivocal that even the Gulf of Bothnia and the Baltic Sea, colored blue in Fig. 2, has SLF exactly as expected, exactly as shown, an exactly as the science predicts.

Fig. 9
The evidence is overwhelming and compelling concerning the release of gravity as ice sheets decompose and lose mass.

The evidence is overwhelming that SLF takes place as ice-sheet-mass created gravity "melts and calves away into the Earth's greater gravity" even as the ice sheet itself melts and calves away into the greater sea.

The greater pool of the Earth's gravity absorbs the ice sheet gravity, then relocates it uniformly wherever the ice berg or melt-water goes.

The greater pool of the Earth's seas absorb the ice sheet melt water, and calving ice bergs, then relocates them in accord with the laws of physics.

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

The following graphs are from a section (depicted in Fig. 1) of the "np" zone (New Type of SLC Detection Model - 4).

They exhibit SLF as expected:

Fig. 10


Fig. 11

Fig. 12

Fig. 13

Fig. 14

Fig. 15

Fig. 16

Fig. 17

Fig. 18

Fig. 19

Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six" - 2

Fig. 1
In the previous post of this series we discussed some "missing" members of the "golden 23" tide gauge stations (Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six").

I have to say that I am still mystified as to their significance, while at the same time I can see that the golden 23 are instructive.

Not only that, the list includes the mother of all tide gauge stations, the tide gauge
Fig. 2
station with the number "1" as its designation, a station that has been keeping records since 1807, as shown in the graph (Fig. 1).

BTW, I have discovered that there are more than six names "missing."

Two of the names, which I assumed to be part of the golden 23 list, are not to be found in the PSMSL list of tide gauge stations (see what hopium does to me).

Fig. 3
Those two, which change the name of the case to "the missing eight," are #3 "Cascais" and #4 "Lagos" (Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six", at Fig. 2 in that post).

However, the names that were found in the PSMSL database of worldwide tide gauge records, which is also the majority of the golden 23 names, are graphed in today's post (Fig. 1 - Fig. 12).

Except for Auckland, N.Z.  tide gauge stations (PSMSL #150, #217, which shut down in 1998 & 2000) - thus the golden 23 are now the golden 22.

They are all sea level rise (SLR) stations, so they do not tell the story of sea level fall
Fig. 4
(SLF), which can be easily seen by stations outside the golden 23 (e.g. Proof of Concept - 3).

Sea level change (SLC) scientists use the term "fingerprints" as a nickname for patterns, which they also say are established by the representative sea levels of the golden 23 tide gauge station records, in a unique and revealing way.

Those fingerprints shown by the golden 23, which scientists are talking about a lot these days, IMO are not as important as the larger bulk of historical fingerprints provided by the PSMSL tide gauge station records available.

Fig. 5
Perhaps the urge to condense, simplify, and "mean average" all the stations into one mythical global entity has gotten a bit out of hand.

I suggest the use of an SQL database which makes working with the thousands upon thousands of individual records less tedious, especially when followed up with the development of task-specific software modules which can do a lot of analytical work in a very few seconds.

The daunting vastness of the tide gauge records then becomes not much more than a
Fig. 6
few keystrokes of effort.

One thing I like about the golden 23 is that some of them are very old tide gauge stations, even going back to the early 1800's.

Nevertheless, they still tell the same story that the younger stations tell, thus, SLC in either the form of SLR or SLF is an historical fingerprint that cannot be ignored by gainsaying, or denied by fear.

Fig. 7
At least that is true so long as intellectual honesty is at the helm of the ship.

Anyway, some readers may be wondering why all of the graphs show an acceleration in SLR in the near future, so, let me answer that question now and provide some backup references.

The simple answer is that there is widespread forecast of rising temperatures for the air, sea, and land across the globe, following the rise of green house gases.

Furthermore, at current temperatures and CO2 levels, the ice sheets are already losing ice at an accelerating rate :
Measurements from ESA’s CryoSat mission have been used to map the height of the huge ice sheets that blanket Greenland and Antarctica and
Fig. 8
show how they are changing. New results reveal combined ice volume loss at an unprecedented rate of 500 cubic kilometres a year.
...
The resulting maps reveal that Greenland alone is reducing in volume by about 375 cubic kilometres a year.
Fig. 9
...
The researchers say the ice sheets’ annual contribution to sea-level rise has doubled since 2009. [Table 1 type contribution - i.e. thermal sea level rise (additional) is not included in that doubling]

Glaciologist Angelika Humbert, another of the study’s authors, added, “Since 2009, the volume loss in Greenland has increased by a factor of about two and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by a factor of three."
(Peak Sea Level, 2, 3, 4, 5; The Agnotology of Sea Level Rise Via Ice Melt,
Fig. 10
The Question Is: How Much Acceleration Is Involved In SLR?, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7; Greenland & Antarctica Invade The United States, 2, 3, 4; The 1% May Face The Wrath of Sea Level Rise First, Why The Military Can't Defend Against The Invasion, Weekend Rebel Science Excursion - 44, Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization, 2, 3, 4, 5). The seemingly least known science concerns the seemingly least known dangers that are upon us.

Dangers that are even at the doorstep of our civilization ("the Antarctic ice sheet is poorly known", ibid).

Fig. 11
The reality is that the big picture is clearly known by NASA scientists who have observed Antarctica up close and personal for many years (video below).

The fact that some of the desk scientists are still in the dark, and use the misleading term "poorly known," does not change the clear reality that a very severe problem exists.

The case is clear when tide gauge stations around the world are viewed individually, bringing reality home to roost (New Type of SLC Detection Model - 7).

Fig. 12
Once I get all the names of the golden 23 tide gauge stations, and then post the remaining graphs, the story of the golden 23 becomes even more clear.

The story is that the golden 23 are just like the other 488 PSMSL tide gauge station records I use (out of 1417 total stations), and all such records are instructive.

The story told to the whole world, to our civilization, is that we face our most serious challenge to date.

Nevertheless, there are powerful forces at work that do not want us to know about it (The Climate Deception Dossiers).

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

A discussion about ice shelves vs. ice sheets:

15:29 when the ice shelf "Larsen A" collapsed the entire glacier's flow speed toward the sea increased ...
18:50 "Larsen B" ice shelf collapse caused the same thing ... the entire glacier's flow accelerated toward the sea ...
19:30 when the ice shelf goes away so does the restraint on the glacier, and they then move faster, 8 times faster, toward the sea
27:15 the East Antarctica Totten Glacier basin contains about as much ice as all of Western Antarctica, and it is destabilizing
30:30 the condition of the ice shelf controls what happens to the ice sheet



Tuesday, October 6, 2015

New Type of SLC Detection Model - 7

In a previous post of this series I took a look at "the east coast group" (New Type of SLC Detection Model - 5).

Those graphs were done when the new software model was using the IPCC outlook for "3ft. of sea level rise (SLR) by the year 2100."

Today, I want to use that same group to show how the SLR looks under the "20-year-doubling" projection.

That is half of what Dr. James Hansen used when he mentioned the issue in a recent paper:
One of the nation's most recognizable names in climate science, Dr. James Hansen, released a new paper this week warning that even 2 degrees
Celsius of global warming may be "highly dangerous" for humanity.

The paper, which will be published online in the European Geosciences Union journal Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussion later this week, projects sea levels rising as much as 10 feet in the next 50 years.
(Former Top NASA Scientist Predicts Catastrophic Rise In Sea Levels). You can read more about the various degrees of "doubling" here.

I am following the same sequence of graphs in today's post, so it will be easier to compare the differences should you choose to do so.

What I like best about this configuration is that, as planned, it is a continuous flow of history with the future projection taking that into consideration.

Previous models only did the future without consideration of the past in terms of
capturing the nature of the history of a particular tide gauge station, then including that nature in the future projection.

I put a red dot at the intersection where history ends and the future begins, and I changed the sea level from millimeters to meters.

One take home from this freedom gained, by no longer using the fabled "global mean average" scenarios, is that each station has its own characteristics.

Which is better than all of them being ground up into the sausage of "global allie samie average" IMO.

We saw how different sea level change (SLC) can be when we took a look at the West
Coast Group tide gauge stations, which have both sea level fall (SLF) and SLR (Proof of Concept - 3).

I will do a post on that group again now that the model is doing "doubling" projections, and is closer than the IPCC model to the reality of future SLC on the east coast.

Another thing which I consider to be very important is the impact that 1 meter / ~3 feet of SLR will have on sea ports.

Not only that, the impact that SLF will have on sea ports has been discussed and it is shockingly significant (Peak Sea Level - 2).

That 1m / 3ft. SLC comes around when only 1.14% of the Earth's ice sheets melt (Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization - 3).

The song "In The Year 2525" sung by way too many establishment scientists takes our attention away from the looming crisis.

Anyway, if anyone comments to say "these graphs look very much alike Dredd" I will answer "that is because their history is similar."

Another thing to consider is that the millimeter to meter change smooths out a lot of the bumps.

But to be able to include all the historical years along with the future years, which include a "doubling" acceleration increase, those changes were necessary.

Another factor is that the tide gauge stations began keeping records at different times in the past, and since SLC has been changing since the industrial revolution began to change the chemistry of the atmosphere, oceans, and land, that is to be expected.

You can notice that they tend to be different in the sense of beginning at different sea levels when they begin their record keeping in different years and locations (see how the red dot moves about too).

Note that the historical data is exactly the same, only the future projection data is different.

The future data is different because the switch from the conservative IPCC 2100 model data to the 20-year-doubling model data is a significant change.

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

Monday, October 5, 2015

The Virgin MOMCOM - 10

Are we there yet?
I. The Backdrop

This series is about an imperialistic military empire.

The notable part is that it considers itself to be a virgin (The Virgin MOMCOM, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9).

At least in the eyes of its god Mithra (The Dogma of The High Priest In Chief, On The Origin of The Bully Religion, 2, 3, 4, Origin of the Classic Nuclear Bully, 2, Bully Worship: The Universal Religion, 2, 3, 4, 5).

II. The "Innocent" Mass Murderer

In a recent post Howard Zinn reflects on how he discovered that he was working for an empire rather than for a humanistic culture as he had been educated to believe:
With an occupying army waging war in Iraq and Afghanistan, with military bases and corporate bullying in every part of the world, there is hardly a question any more of the existence of an American Empire. Indeed, the once fervent denials have turned into a boastful, unashamed embrace of the idea.

However, the very idea that the United States was an empire did not occur to me until after I finished my work as a bombardier with the Eighth Air Force in the Second World War, and came home. Even as I began to have second thoughts about the purity of the "Good War," even after being horrified by Hiroshima and Nagasaki, even after rethinking my own bombing of towns in Europe, I still did not put all that together in the context of an American "Empire."

I was conscious, like everyone, of the British Empire and the other imperial powers of Europe, but the United States was not seen in the same way. When, after the war, I went to college under the G.I. Bill of Rights and took courses in U.S. history, I usually found a chapter in the history texts called "The Age of Imperialism." It invariably referred to the Spanish-American War of 1898 and the conquest of the Philippines that followed. It seemed that American imperialism lasted only a relatively few years. There was no overarching view of U.S. expansion that might lead to the idea of a more far-ranging empire -- or period of "imperialism."
(Empire or Humanity?). His sentiments as one who was a participant in "the good war" resemble another observer and writer who witnessed what he described as a religion tinged trance of sorts:
"The enemy aggressor is always pursuing a course of larceny, murder, rapine and barbarism. We are always moving forward with high mission, a destiny imposed by the Deity to regenerate our victims, while incidentally capturing their markets; to civilise savage and senile and paranoid peoples, while blundering accidentally into their oil wells."
(Doing The Right Thing - Mithraism - 2). The authoritarian outlook, blending with a Stockholm Syndrome of sorts, works up a strange psychological dynamic (Madonna–whore complex).

III. As The Tide Turns

The Oil-Qaeda spirit seems to be the other side of the Madonna-Whore coin in this strange relationship, because of the terrorism being done to the virgin mother "everyone" loves, Mother Nature (Oil-Qaeda: The Indictment).

This situation is not without its drawbacks (Civilization Is Now On Suicide Watch, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8).

The virgin mother is not without her potent ability to correct the errant human growth spasm that no longer looks like an offspring of hers (Greenland & Antarctica Invade The United States, 2, 3, 4, The 1% May Face The Wrath of Sea Level Rise First, Why The Military Can't Defend Against The Invasion, Weekend Rebel Science Excursion - 44, Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization, 2, 3, 4, 5).

The core problem is that the humanistic nature, once said to be more prevalent in the virgin, has now come to look more like a violence-whore dynamic.

Some are even intimating that violence is okay for virgins who are innocent, because they are doing holy violence (The Authoritarianism of Climate Change, Hypothesis: The Cultural Amygdala - 4).

The situation is suggestive of the notion that an empire can get YAH YAH Alzheimer's disease (You Are Here).

IV. No Cure

Historically, there seems to be no known cure for the Alzheimer's like problem that has now infected "the only virgin" empire:
"In other words, a society does not ever die 'from natural causes', but always dies from suicide or murder --- and nearly always from the former, as this chapter has shown." - A Study of History, by Arnold J. Toynbee

"If Tyranny and Oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy." - James Madison

Experience has shown that even under the best forms of government those entrusted with power have, in time, and by slow operations, perverted it into tyranny.” – Thomas Jefferson
(Quotes Page). The only question we can reasonably ponder, it would seem, is "does anyone get out of this alive?"

Or, "does anyone get out of this sane" (Etiology of Social Dementia, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13)?

V. Odds Against Recovery

The fundamental approach to all social ills in the virgin empire today is that the problems are all financial, economic, and based on not having enough money ever.

The true believers get all Alzheimered up about it, then broadcast this "cure story" like some Kardasian adventure, but without even knowing the type of "economy" they have (American Feudalism, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11).

Probably the only hope is for a social gynaecologist movement to take a look at the (virgin / whore) private parts to determine if it really is a virgin or just a violence-whore (MOMCOM: The Private Parts, 2, 3, 4, 5).

VI. Conclusion

Don't hold your breath (One Day After Warning Russia of Civilian Casualties, the U.S. Bombs a Hospital in Afghanistan).

The previous post in this series is here.

Sunday, October 4, 2015

Proof of Concept - 4

Fig. 1 SQL query of PSMSL "stations" table
The post about a blogger who imagined sea level fall (SLF) because he has beach front property got me to thinking about sea level rise (SLR) and SLF in Australia (Agnotology: The Surge - 18).

The (now 20) stations which qualify for serious sea level change (SLC) consideration, wrap all around the Australian continent (Fig. 2).

I don't include stations in Tasmania, because it is not part of the Australian mainland continent, even though Tasmania does have some good tide gauge stations.
Fig. 2

The SQL query (Fig. 1) shows the current usable stations and their locations.

What was interesting after checking them out, is that only one station (Booby Island) registered SLF in its records.

However, after looking at its data in my possession, and those still at PSMSL, it became clear that it is not a valid station because there are too many -9999 entries in its record (it has less than 30 years of valid records).

I marked "Booby Island" as "don't use," which means that I set the "flag" field / column to 'Z' (notice that the SQL query excludes rows where the flag field is 'Z').

Booby Island must be a nasty place for weather, to give the tide gauge such a hard time.

Fig. 3  SLF locations (dark blue)
Anyway, all the other valid Australian stations have an SLR condition of varying degrees (various quantities of millimeters of SLR).

That is not contrary to the SLF indicated by the graphics shown by Dr. Mitrovica (Fig. 3).

Australia is always in an SLR status in all three scenarios.

The closest to SLF we see on those graphics is in the southern part of Australia (not the far north where Booby Island is located).

The hinge point gets closest to Australia under the conditions portrayed in the top graphic in Fig. 3, which shows Antarctica ice mass / gravity loss conditions, but, even in that scenario the hinge point is way south of Australia (Australia receives varying degrees of SLR as one proceeds north, but receives no SLF).

Our attitude towards global warming induced climate change can get away from us at times, so that, rather than sticking with the facts of science, we allow deep, subconscious fear circuits to skew reality and take us into an imaginary world (Agnotology: The Surge - 18).

That always proves disastrous, but reality will sometimes pull through (stick with reality).

My advice to Australians with property on the shoreline:
join the KEEP IT IN THE GROUND movement (e.g. LINGO), rather than the psychologically impaired denial movement.
The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here:

No video, just graphs of Australia SLR, North to South.

(Each graph has a red dot to show the transition from historical records into the future projection by the IPCC style conservative logic of the current mode of the Dredd Blog SLC model):