Friday, July 31, 2015

Is A New Age Of Pressure Upon Us? - 7

Fig. 1  Axis shift induced sea level rise
This series is about some seemingly science fiction aspects of global warming induced climate change.

Warming climate changes that cause polar ice sheets to melt, to weaken, and to shift gravity.

Today, I want to talk about an effect that will impact two areas of the globe with sea level rise (SLR), focusing on one such area called "the United States of America" or USeh?:
Polar ice sheets are not located symmetrically on Earth’s poles. Therefore, in light of their huge mass, Earth’s axis of rotation changes as they grow or shrink. Jerry Mitrovica has calculated that if the West Antarctic Ice Sheet [WAIS] melted in its entirety, the southern pole of Earth’s axis would move about half a mile toward the tip of South America. This change alone would raise sea level about 4 feet in two roughly circular regions, one in the Indian Ocean and the other centered on the US. This calculation demonstrates that movement, or wandering, of the poles is a substantial effect. It also demonstrates another way that changes in sea level are highly variable around the globe. Mitrovica takes polar wandering into account when inferring the relationship between changes in local sea level since the Pliocene observed at Pliomax sites and global average sea level change.
(Axis Upheaval, emphasis added; cf. Fig. 1 & video below). As most people who concern themselves with SLR know, the WAIS is melting faster than East Antarctica is.
Fig. 2 Potential SLR with source locations

This 1.22 m / 4 ft SLR, which Dr. Mitrovica identifies (see Fig 1), would not be the result of the meltwater coming from the WAIS.

If you notice Fig. 2, SLR from WAIS meltwater would be 26.44 feet.

Thus, the extra 4 ft. from the axis shift is superfluous, because substantial catastrophe takes place at about 1m / 3ft of SLR (A Paper From Hansen et al. Is Now Open For Discussion).

But, what it does serve to illustrate is that there are more forces associated with melting ice sheets than meltwater and icebergs alone.

Fig. 3  Who needs 4ft more of SLR?
There are pressures and forces that IPCC and other SLR modelling software does not take into consideration, even though those forces are dynamic and active each day, like the melting ice caps and rising seas are.

They are all linked together, acting as synchronized global phenomena, with a surprising percentage added onto meltwater and iceberg SLR impacts.

A previous post details what is shown in Fig. 3 in the Chesapeake Bay area, where "at least 13 islands" are already submerged (Will This Float Your Boat - 10).

The 4ft. axis shift (Fig. 1) is (4 ÷ 26.44 = 0.15128593) ~15% as much SLR as the entire melted ice sheet engenders ( 0.15128593 * 100 = 15.13%).

That 15% is not caused by additional meltwater entering the sea, rather, it is caused by a "bulge" (gravity, centripetal force, etc.) explained in the video below.

It would seem to me that this means there may be an additional up to ~15% SLR impact at any given time which we can add to meltwater or iceberg SLR calculations.

That is because this phenomenon is happening all the time, as the ice almost imperceptibly melts, the axis location almost imperceptibly moves causing the SLR bulge to move toward the U.S. too (e.g. Antarctic Gravity Data and Gravity Shift Reveals West Antarctic Ice Loss).

The location shown in Fig. 1 is its final quantity of SLR and final destination, after all the WAIS melts or calves into the sea.

But, as it melts from 25% to 50%, then on to 100%, the bulge effect is constantly moving in the ocean, from where it is now to where it will eventually end up.

There are additional forces associated with the ice sheet melt and disintegration, such as sub-glacial land mass uprising as the ice sheet, which now suppresses it downward, gets lighter and lighter (Is A New Age Of Pressure Upon Us?, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6).

We have even witnessed recently, with our own eyes, a volcanic eruption as a result of a glacier in Iceland melting to such a degree that it could no longer suppress the magma below the bedrock the sheet rested on, because it became too thin (e.g. Global Warming & Volcanic Eruptions).

The melting in Greenland, and other locations in Antarctica, will change, accelerate, or otherwise impact upon the bulge locations, depending on which melts first and/or melts most (The Gravity of Glacial Melt).

That we are consistently having "the warmest year" each year now, means that there will be ongoing increased impact year by year.

Increased fossil fuel use also increases the ice melt on the warming globe.

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

Professor Jerry X. Mitrovica on the gravity / axis bulge SLR issues we don't hear about often:

Thursday, July 30, 2015


"Where are you Luke, I am your father. I must kill you."

Father Change Jingles In My Pocket
by Dredd

Only one thing
has changed father.

You are dead,
no more
rape and murder for you.

We are still here,
still true,
only older.

But never as old
as you were
born to be.

Cut short by your
Own life.

Our old
become younger.

the stars shine
once again.

Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Symbolic Racism: A Look At The Science - 11

Where did America go?
I started this series as a blogger observing ongoing cultural dynamics, somewhat in the nature of a meme complex.

I was contemplating racist events which, in my clueless mind, were quietly flowing under the surface of society, ruffling feathers but not too much more.

It was an academic exercise to study things "down under the hood" (Symbolic Racism: A Look At The Science - 3).

I had no expectation whatsoever that the engine down under the hood would jump out of the engine well, and go through the hood, to explode onto the streets of America.

But it surely has, especially since I started this series well before even the infamous Ferguson shooting took place to start the carnage.

Our culture, like me, was totally unaware of the degree to which the subject matter I selected was actually spot on, prescient, and ready to explode into the public eye.

Now, a year and a quarter later, we are going on two thousand Americans who have been gunned down by a police force composed, to a frightful degree, of seemingly unstable minds (The Counted).

Please, let me repeat what I wrote in the previous post of this series, even though it is a bit redundant:
As I wrote in the previous post:
I began this series, on April 28, 2014.

Like you of course, at that time I had no idea that the Ferguson phenomenon would begin some months later on August 9, 2014.

In fact, by the time of the Ferguson phenomenon, I had already posted about half of the posts now contained in this series (Symbolic Racism: A Look At The Science, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8).
(Symbolic Racism: A Look At The Science - 9). The many police killings of unarmed black men brought out one type of criticism of symbolic racism, and now the mass-murder in South Carolina has brought out another type of criticism.
(Symbolic Racism: A Look At The Science - 10). So, after scratching my head and wondering what was going on, I remembered another Dredd Blog series.

Upon reflection of that series, I am convinced that Radley Balko was spot on and prescient in his book Rise of the Warrior Cop (Will The Military Become The Police? - 4).
The previous post in this series is here.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

In the Fog of The Presstitutes - 4

ad nauseum
I. Background

Like other Dredd Blog Series, this series is an exposé of the coverage cover-up of the news subject which the Guardian calls "The Biggest Story In The World."

In today's post, I want to show one way in which that cover-up is taking place by the mainstream media (MSM), which I call McTell News.

That cover-up issue is "how much attention is McTell News paying" or to the contrary, "how much is Oil-Qaeda paying McTell News not to pay attention" to The Biggest Story In The World?

II. Mainstream News History

Since about the time of WW I, both the business world and government have used McTell News to deceive the public on various and sundry matters (The Deceit Business, Mocking America, 2, 3, 4).

The media structure is part of a trinity construct (MOMCOM: A Mean Welfare Queen) ultimately controlled and/or influenced by a private empire (MOMCOM: The Private Parts) which I sometimes call the epigovernment (Epigovernment: The New Model).

I mention this, because The Biggest Story In The World is contrary to their interests, and is therefore the reason for their cover-up.

This will be abundantly shown below.

III. The Non-coverage Cover-Up

A. Data Source and Formula

The venerable Media Matters folks do a very fine job of keeping an eye on McTell News, so today I will use their data.

I will use their data in the following formula: dy * hd * mh = my

dy = days in a year (365.25)
hd = hours in a day (24)
mh = minutes in an hour (60)
my = total minutes in a year (525,960)

hence: 365.25 * 24 * 60 = 525,960
B. The Coverage Cover-Up Data

Next, let's review the total minutes of coverage of The Biggest Story In The World for each of the last six years (2009-2014) by the McTell News brands ABC, NBC, CBS, and FOX.

The combined figures are:
format is year - minutes:

2009 - 205
2010 - 48
2011 - 47
2012 - 67
2013 - 129
2014 - 154
6 yrs. - 650 min.
Total coverage, in minutes, in all of the last 6 years combined, by all 4 of those McTell News entities (ABC, NBC, CBS, and FOX) is 650 minutes to cover The Biggest Story In The World (Media Matters, Jan. 2015).

C. The Percent of Total Minutes

In Section III(A), above, I calculated that in each year there were 525,960 minutes available to cover The Biggest Story In The World.

The total amount of minutes available to McTell News in those 6 years is: 525,960 * 6 = 3,155,760 minutes.

We can calculate the percentage of total minutes available to cover The Biggest Story In The World compared to how many minutes McTell News used to cover The Biggest Story In The World:
650 minutes ÷ 3,155,760 minutes = 0.000205973
0.000205973 * 100 = 0.021%
The total percent of available time they used is two hundreths of one percent.

Not even one percent of the total minutes available to them for The Biggest Story In The World was used to cover it.

IV. The Propaganda Aspects of The Cover-Up

A. The Big Picture

Let's remember that The Biggest Story In The World is that burning fossil fuels causes global warming induced climate change.

Which includes all that it entails, such as sea level rise, is a threat.

A threat not only to civilization, but also to all of the Earth's biota (A Paper From Hansen et al. Is Now Open For Discussion).

Let's remember that The Biggest Story In The World is about the Sixth Mass Extinction, now under way, because of the use of poison fossil fuels.

Those poisons are controlled, owned, and/or operated by Oil-Qaeda.

B. Deliberate Deceit by Oil-Qaeda

The Union of Concerned Scientists recently pointed out:
"Internal fossil fuel industry memos reveal decades of disinformation — a deliberate campaign to deceive the public that continues even today.

For nearly three decades, many of the world's largest fossil fuel companies have knowingly worked to deceive the public about the realities and risks of climate change.

Their deceptive tactics are now highlighted in this set of seven "deception dossiers"—collections of internal company and trade association documents that have either been leaked to the public, come to light through lawsuits, or been disclosed through Freedom of Information (FOIA) requests.

Each collection provides an illuminating inside look at this coordinated campaign of deception, an effort underwritten by ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, BP, Shell, Peabody Energy, and other members of the fossil fuel industry."
(The Criminally Insane Epoch Arises - 4). The oil industry, Oil-Qaeda, does not care about the millions of lives they are destroying and/or damaging.

Thus, they are guilty of depraved-heart murder (Oil-Qaeda & MOMCOM Conspire To Commit Depraved-Heart Murder).

The McTell News is also guilty, since they are also instrumental in the propaganda and cover-up (Media Matters: "How Media Has Helped Advance Big Oil's Climate Deception Campaign").

V. Conclusion

The public is being kept unaware of the colossal failure of the private empire and government.

Their (the 1%) assumptions about themselves, and their assumptions about us (the 99%), were and are wrong.

They believed that it was and still is their place to tell us what to wear, think, eat, and do:
THE conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country. We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men we have never heard of. This is a logical result of the way in which our democratic society is organized. Vast numbers of human beings must cooperate in this manner if they are to live together as a smoothly functioning society.

Our invisible governors are, in many cases, unaware of the identity of their fellow members in the inner cabinet.

They govern us by their qualities of natural leadership, their ability to supply needed ideas and by their key position in the social structure. Whatever attitude one chooses to take toward this condition, it remains a fact that in almost every act of our daily lives, whether in the sphere of politics or business, in our social conduct or our ethical thinking, we are dominated by the relatively small number of persons — a trifling fraction of our hundred and twenty [now 320] million — who understand the mental processes and social patterns of the masses. It is they who pull the wires which control the public mind, who harness old social forces and contrive new ways to bind and guide the world.
It is the purpose of this book to explain the structure of the mechanism which controls the public mind, and to tell how it is manipulated by the special pleader who seeks to create public acceptance for a particular idea or commodity. It will attempt at the same time to find the due place in the modern democratic scheme for this new propaganda and to suggest its gradually evolving code of ethics and practice.
(A Closer Look At MOMCOM's DNA - 4, quoting Propaganda). To them, we are the hoi polloi which they charitably put up with, as they build a glorious world for all to behold.

They are now full of denial and deceit, because they have brought civilization to the brink, and have no clue now about how to do anything truly remedial about it.

Thus, they are very desperate and dangerous now (Civilization Is Now On Suicide Watch, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8).

The previous post in this series is here.

"People turn the TV on, it looks just like a window, yeah" - lyrics here

Monday, July 27, 2015

Peak Sea Level

"I have you by the lifeblood" - King Oilah Akbar IV
I. One Peak Leads To Another

In the finite world on the finite globe we call Earth, there is a peak of everything that is not part of a repeating Earth cycle  (e.g. The Peak Of Sanity).

We call those everythings commodities.

Oil is the "lifeblood" of our civilization, as well as the "deathblood," thus it is a common oddity as well as a commodity (Petroleum Civilization: The Final Chapter (Confusing Life with Death) - 4).

The peak of finite things is not a controversial subject amongst those who know arithmetic (2-2=0), but to the contrary, when the peak of availability of this or that commodity or common oddity will take place is generally controversial:
"The First Law of 'When': the more critical an issue is to the future of our civilization, the difficulty of determining when that critical issue will take effect tends to increase exponentially.

The Second Law of 'When': the greater the amount of time it takes for that critical issue to play out completely tends to exponentially diminish Civilization's grasp of that critical issue.

The Third Law of 'When': the more destructive the impact which that critical issue would have on civilization tends to exponentially increase the time when that critical event will be understood to have begun to take place."
(Quotes Page). It seems that gravity curves space, and fear bends time, especially the time related to the when of sea level rise (SLR).

II. A Most Controversial Peak

I took note of two papers, one of which came out last week, addressing the controversial issue of the time line of SLR, both past and present.

One was presented by Dr. James Hansen and a lot of co-authors (A Paper From Hansen et al. Is Now Open For Discussion).

The other one was presented by 8 authors from the other side of the Atlantic, and then published in a journal (Nature, "Bipolar Seesaw Control on Last Interglacial Sea Level"; cf. Reporting Climate Science).

The two papers address, among other things, the issue of which ice sheet, Greenland or Antarctica, has and/or will contribute the most to SLR.

The older paper points out that in previous eras when ice sheets grew and expanded, then subsequent warming reversed that expansion causing a contraction of the ice sheets, the sequence of events in that contraction was not always uniform.

That is, the process that brought sea level to its lowest point (maximum ice sheet growth and the subsequent global warming sequence of events leading to ice sheet melt) was not the same sequence in all cases.

Ice sheets in the northern hemisphere would take the lead at times, but at other times the southern hemisphere ice sheets would take the lead.

So, for SLR the bottom line is that it depends on what point on the graph we are in reference to, because one ice sheet will contribute the most in one era, but then the other ice sheet will accelerate to take the lead (The Evolution of Models - 10).

III. We Are Here Now

We know that Greenland is leading at this time (over Antarctica), because both continental ice sheets have been measured by Cryosat-2 and other satellites.

Their data are pointing out the scale and scope of current melt:
Measurements from ESA’s CryoSat mission have been used to map the height of the huge ice sheets that blanket Greenland and Antarctica and show how they are changing. New results reveal combined ice volume loss at an unprecedented rate of 500 cubic kilometres a year.
The resulting maps reveal that Greenland alone is reducing in volume by about 375 cubic kilometres a year.
The researchers say the ice sheets’ annual contribution to sea-level rise has doubled since 2009. [Table 1 type contribution - i.e. thermal sea level rise (additional) is not included in that doubling]

Glaciologist Angelika Humbert, another of the study’s authors, added, “Since 2009, the volume loss in Greenland has increased by a factor of about two and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by a factor of three."
(What Do You Mean - World Civilization? - 2). We don't know how long that volume of loss will continue, nor exactly when the larger load will begin to be carried by Antarctica, but the load disparity is currently known:
Currently, the ice melt rate (500 km3) is based on volume of ice melt in Greenland (375 km3) and Antarctica (125 km3) which shows that Greenland is melting much faster."
(Will This Float Your Boat - 6). Greenland is the lead meltwater producer at this time, and will remain so for quite a while it would seem.

The main consideration IMO, is that there is plenty to do to grasp the here and now, because the dangers to us are here and now.

I don't fault the scientists for also considering ancient SLR, but more energy needs to go into developing a public conversation to counter the propaganda of Oil-Qaeda (The Private Empire's Social Media Hit Squads).

They have spread the falsehood that global warming is a hoax, when it fact it is a great danger.

IV. Conclusion

Let's keep our eyes and ears open, because Peak Sea Level is headed our way, and it will not be a pretty sight, all things considered (New Climate Catastrophe Policy: Triage - 13).

The next post in this series is here.

The 1% are psychopaths ...