Tuesday, April 24, 2018

The King of King Tides Approaches - 2

Fig. 1 1.7 feet of sea level rise
Scientists of the world are generally aware of the ongoing rise of sea level on the East Coast of the United States.
It has been a while since I focused on that area of the country, so today I want to revisit the subject.
I updated my PSMSL data set  recently and generated the graph at Fig. 1 with the latest data from WOD Zone 7307, as well as generating the list of PSMSL tide gauge stations in that zone (excluding 4 stations that had less than 10 years of total accumulated data).

That list is sorted according to latitude, with most northerly station at the top and most southerly station at the bottom:
PHILADELPHIA (PIER 9N) [stn. #135, yrs of data: 117]
REEDY POINT [stn. #786, yrs of data: 32]
ATLANTIC CITY [stn. #180, yrs of data: 103]
BALTIMORE [stn. #148, yrs of data: 115]
ANNAPOLIS (NAVAL ACADEMY) [stn. #311, yrs of data: 87]
CAPE MAY [stn. #1153, yrs of data: 48]
MATAPEAKE [stn. #1338, yrs of data: 10]
WASHINGTON DC [stn. #360, yrs of data: 86]
LEWES (BREAKWATER HARBOR) [stn. #224, yrs of data: 78]
INDIAN RIVER INLET [stn. #1337, yrs of data: 11]
CAMBRIDGE [stn. #481, yrs of data: 10]
CAMBRIDGE II [stn. #1295, yrs of data: 46]
OCEAN CITY INLET [stn. #2292, yrs of data: 18]
SOLOMON'S ISLAND (BIOL. LAB.) [stn. #412, yrs of data: 80]
PINEY POINT [stn. #971, yrs of data: 13]
RICHMOND [stn. #462, yrs of data: 27]
GLOUCESTER POINT [stn. #597, yrs of data: 53]
KIPTOPEKE BEACH [stn. #636, yrs of data: 66]
CHESAPEAKE BAY BR. TUN. [stn. #1635, yrs of data: 32]
SEWELLS POINT [stn. #299, yrs of data: 90]
VIRGINIA BEACH [stn. #945, yrs of data: 12]
PORTSMOUTH (NORFOLK NAVY YARD) [stn. #399, yrs of data: 53]
DUCK PIER OUTSIDE [stn. #1636, yrs of data: 32]
CAPE HATTERAS [stn. #2294, yrs of data: 26]
MOREHEAD CITY [stn. #719, yrs of data: 10]
WILMINGTON [stn. #396, yrs of data: 82]
SOUTHPORT [stn. #1431, yrs of data: 13]
MYRTLE BEACH [stn. #862, yrs of data: 16]
SPRINGMAID PIER [stn. #1444, yrs of data: 34]
CHARLESTON I [stn. #234, yrs of data: 96]
BEAUFORT [stn. #2295, yrs of data: 44]

(click on the Station Name (link) to see more information from the PSMSL website)
That zone (7307) does not include Florida.

American scientists are not the only Americans who know the import of sea level change:
"Sea level rise is threatening coastal cities around the world.

If you live in a city like Miami, New York City, or Charleston, the evidence is apparent if you head to the right neighborhood during high tides — especially those known as king tides. These are the highest tides of the year, and they coincide with full moons during spring and fall.

King tides themselves aren't caused by sea level rise, but as the highest tides of the year, they show how sea level has already risen over the past century — the neighborhoods they flood on sunny days now didn't flood like this decades ago, even during high tides.

More importantly, high and king tides are a preview of what's to come as seas continue to rise. What happens during particularly high tides now will happen on a regular basis in the future.

As sea level rises, waters come back up through storm drains and wash over barricades. They flood houses and roads. And in many cases, they may be full of bacteria and potential pathogens.

Most cities recognize the situation at this point and are doing everything they can to try to beat back the rising tides. But seas will continue to rise as warmer oceans expand and glaciers melt. It's likely that neighborhoods and even some cities will be uninhabitable far sooner than many think."
(Cities around the US are flooding on sunny days, Business Insider, emphasis added). It is here now folks.

That being said, the full impact of the increasing sea level rise is less understood (The Extinction of Robust Sea Ports, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9).

We all need to "get woke and stay woke."

The previous post in this series is here.

When sea level knowledge is outlawed, only outlaws will be woke.

Monday, April 23, 2018

Ents & The Entities Become Nomadic - 3

Future "farming" vehicles?
This post extends some of the concepts illustrated in prior posts in a Ecocosmology Blog series (Ents & The Entities Become Nomadic, 2).

People have noticed that the weather in their area now has some strange characteristics when compared to the past weather conditions.

Once-abundant Cod fish in once-flourishing fishing grounds in the Atlantic off the northeast coast of the United States have evidently migrated somewhere.

Those Cod are being replaced (by jelly fish and other jelly-fish-resembling sea creatures) in the waters that were once filled with Cod:
The waters of Maine have been warming for decades, warming out a warning, that no-one in fishy officialdom heeded, except to acknowledge that losing the once-vast cod fishery was a 'nuisance':
"The Atlantic cod, a fish that came to symbolize bounty to America’s colonial settlers, is on the brink of disappearing, despite years of fishing limits aimed at rebuilding stocks. A new study reveals why: Cod spawning and survival has been hampered by rapid, extraordinary ocean warming in the Gulf of Maine, where sea surface temperatures rose faster than anywhere else on the planet between 2003 and 2014.

Over this same 10-year period, fishery managers set quotas that they felt were informed by high-quality science, and the stock just kept going down, down, down,” says study leader Andrew Pershing, the chief scientist for the Gulf of Maine Research Institute in Portland, Maine. When his team looked closely at factors behind the trends, he says, “We found the fingerprints of temperature throughout the data.”

The scientists used satellite data to track the daily sea surface temperature trend in the Gulf of Maine. From 1982 until 2004, they found, temperatures rose by 0.03°C per year, or three times the global mean rate. That warming accelerated sevenfold beginning in 2004, peaking in 2012 with a large “ocean heat wave” that persisted for 18 months, according to the study."
(Science, emphasis added). "Gosh, you expect us managers to know that heated water causes species migration or extinction?"
(A Paper From Hansen et al. Is Now Open For Discussion - 3). Flora and fauna of all types are migrating because the climate is changing.

In today's post the entity that is becoming nomadic is "the 100th meridian boundary of dry conditions" in the USA:
  • The '100th meridian west' is an invisible line of longitude that roughly bisects the United States' in half, separating the humid eastern states from the arid western states.
  • Since the 1980s, this climate boundary has been shifting further from the geographical line of longitude, as dry conditions creep into states that have historically been on the more fertile eastern side.
  • While the shift hasn't significantly impacted farming in central US yet, scientists believe it will only be a matter of time before flourishing plains become deserts.
(An invisible boundary has started to shift, Business Insider, emphasis added). The invasion of the land, air, and sea by a rogue climate change dynamic is invisible only to those who are blind because they refuse to see (Greenland & Antarctica Invade The United States, 2, 3, 4; Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization, 2, 3, 4, 5; The 1% May Face The Wrath of Sea Level Rise First; Why The Military Can't Defend Against The Invasion).

The previous post in this series is here.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Follow The Immunity - 4

This series is about the ghostlike phenomena brought about by a wind of change.

I say "a" wind of change, because it is "a" wind of change that becomes "the" wind of change.

The change I am talking about in this case, today, is the metamorphosis from good government to corrupt government (Follow The Immunity, 2, 3).

What is it that precedes the institutionalization of corruption to the point that it infects an entire government, to eventually bring about the decline of a nation or a civilization?

Several things.

II. Today

Today, I want to look at this dynamic from "the other side of the tracks" so to speak.

But, to tease the flow I will first say that around the edges it is a systemic camouflage, a conflation of perceptions to the point that immunity swallows up accountability (When Accountability Is A Plague, 2, 3, 4).

But more than that, it is as subtle as the dynamics of aging swallowing up youthfulness at an invisible speed.

Or as undetectable as a retrovirus hijacking or avoiding an immune system:
"Retroviruses leave a clear trail of their evolutionary history: They borrow a host cell’s enzymes to copy their single strand of genetic material and hide it within the host cell’s DNA. When the cell does get around to copying its own code, it mistakenly copies the virus’ imposter genes, too. Eventually, the viruses burst from the cell, sometimes killing it, but not always. Every now and then, viruses will insert their genetic code into sex cell DNA, and, in these cases where the extra code isn’t fatal, it can be passed down through generations of animals. Some of our own immune system, it turns out, has been shaped by genes from retroviruses."
(Nature). It is a situation where all hands must be on deck if we are to avoid the new corruption posing as "the new normal."

The most important thing of all in the detection of these dynamics is that, as applied to nations or civilizations, the antidote is common sense.

Groups, societies, nations, and civilizations that lose their common sense will lose much more:
"In the Study Toynbee examined the rise and fall of 26 civilizations in the course of human history, and he concluded that they rose by responding successfully to challenges under the leadership of creative minorities composed of elite leaders. Civilizations declined when their leaders stopped responding creatively, and the civilizations then sank owing to the sins of nationalism, militarism, and the tyranny of a despotic minority. Unlike Spengler in his The Decline of the West, Toynbee did not regard the death of a civilization as inevitable, for it may or may not continue to respond to successive challenges. Unlike Karl Marx, he saw history as shaped by spiritual, not economic forces" ...
(Hypothesis: The Cultural Amygdala - 5, quoting Toynbee). A 'minority' in this sense is not a racial concept, it is a cognitive concept (how we think).

If the broad-based social foundation (the public) loses its ability to detect social pathogens ("when their leaders stopped responding creatively") there will be an onslaught of activity directed at spreading corruption.

In all 26 civilizations that Toynbee studied, corruption was a fatal attraction which swallowed them up over a span of time.

III. Notice Anything Strange in Government That Seems Incurable?

For whatever reason, there are some graphic examples in nature that detail the dynamics we are focusing on today:
Is propaganda only something that humans do?

For the purposes of this post, we will define propaganda as anything that deceives others.

That is, anything that advocates or nurtures a false sense of reality in others so as to lead a victim or victims into any behavioral pattern that is believed to be real, but in fact is actually unreal.

Additionally, we will expand that meaning to include activity in the environment, the ecosystem of the entire Earth.

This is not being done to denigrate the "natural" world around us, rather it is being done to show that many activities that take place deep within that realm we call nature are behaviors that are not "good," in the sense of Ecocosmology, so we need not define them as "good."

Most microbial life is helpful to other life, only about 1% being pathogenic or harmful to humans, who are composed mostly of microbial cells.

Our first example of propaganda usage is about Sacculina, a parasite:
When a female Sacculina is implanted in a male crab it will interfere with the crab's hormonal balance. This sterilizes it and changes the bodily layout of the crab to resemble that of a female crab ... The female Sacculina has even been known to cause the male crabs to perform mating gestures typical of female crabs ... The natural ability of regrowing a severed claw that is commonly used for defense purposes is lost after the infestation of Sacculina. Although all energy otherwise expended on reproduction is directed to the Sacculina, the crab develops a nurturing behavior typical of a female crab... The male Sacculina looks for a female Sacculina adult on the underside ... then implants himself ... and starts fertilizing ... The crab ... then cares for the eggs as if they were its own, having been rendered infertile by the parasite.
(Wikipedia). Can there be any stronger deceit or propaganda than to deceive a male into thinking it is a biologically functioning female, robbing that male of reality?

Let's take a quick look at two other examples, beginning first with the protozoa Toxoplasma gondii:
If you take a lab rat who is 5,000 generations into being a lab rat, since the ancestor actually ran around in the real world, and you put some cat urine in one corner of their cage, they're going to move to the other side. Completely innate, hard-wired reaction to the smell of cats, the cat pheromones. But take a Toxo-infected rodent, and they're no longer afraid of the smell of cats. In fact they become attracted to it. The most damn amazing thing you can ever see, Toxo knows how to make cat urine smell attractive to rats. And rats go and check it out and that rat is now much more likely to wind up in the cat's stomach.
(Hypothesis: Microbes Generate Toxins of Power). The acts of propaganda also take place in order to deceive plant species:
Phytopathogens can manipulate plant hormone signaling to access nutrients and counteract defense responses. Pseudomonas syringae produces coronatine, a toxin that mimics the plant hormone jasmonic acid isoleucine and promotes opening of stomata for bacterial entry, bacterial growth in the apoplast, systemic susceptibility, and disease symptoms. We examined the mechanisms underlying coronatine-mediated virulence and show that coronatine activates three homologous NAC transcription factor (TF) genes, ANAC019, ANAC055, and ANAC072, through direct activity of the TF, MYC2. Genetic characterization of NAC TF mutants demonstrates that these TFs mediate coronatine-induced stomatal reopening and bacterial propagation in both local and systemic tissues by inhibiting the accumulation of the key plant immune signal salicylic acid (SA). These NAC TFs exert this inhibitory effect by repressing ICS1 and activating BSMT1, genes involved in SA biosynthesis and metabolism, respectively. Thus, a signaling cascade by which coronatine confers its multiple virulence activities has been elucidated.
(Cell - Host & Microbe). This is akin to war practices in the days of castles, with draw bridges and moats, in the sense that sometimes enemies would dress up like knights of that castle, then rushing toward the castle would give a secret signal that deceived the guards into lowering the draw bridge, allowing the adversary into the castle to wreak havoc.

What has been illustrated is that propaganda does not exist only in the human realm, and therefore brings the definition of "natural" to the table.

That debate takes place in both politics and law sometimes, so that what is "natural" ends up being defined as "anything that happens in nature."
(On The Origin of Propaganda). These are examples of radical changes caused by an entity intruding into a space where it does not belong.

You have noticed that there are a lot of people, both domestic and foreign, who are observing strange government behavior in the USA (here are a few out of hundreds):
Alarmed by Trump, Obama alums launch campaigns of their own

Former intelligence officers alarmed by Trump's briefing readout

US intelligence officials sound the alarm on the Trumps' FBI attacks

Leaks Suggest Trump's Own Team Is Alarmed By His Conduct

Former DOJ Official John Carlin: Flynn-Russia Controversy Is

Presence of Russian photographer in Oval Office raises alarms

To the five former presidents: You can lead us to safety

Can It Happen Here?

Obama White House Official: 'Alarming' for Trump to Lie
When we see strange things happening to a democracy, together with a growing sense that nothing is being done about it, and together with it spreading to the point government becomes paralyzed, we need to speak up and become a part of the nation's immune system.

IV. Back To Immunity

Our system of government is many things, but one of the (if not the) most important historical aspects is that no person is above the law.

What that means is that we hold government officials accountable for corrupt behavior.

Sometimes the importance of that is lost, so let's review its significance:
"Accountability is the missing conceptual link in the current debate over how best to advance democracy. Democracy affirms the need to justify decisions made by citizens and their representatives: it is a system that connects the values of the individual with the decisions of the collective. The preferences of citizens revealed by fair elections (representation) or organized and definitive discussion (deliberation) are the starting points of democratic legitimacy.
A clearly defined accountability system is crucial to any system of representative democracy because citizens, through their vote, legitimize or give authority to leaders to act."
(When Accountability Is A Plague). Use it or lose it.

V. Conclusion

Corruption must not be allowed to convince us that accountability is the disease rather than it being the cure.

The previous post in this series is here.

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Pole Dancing In The Lab - 2

Fig. 1
This series began last year at about this time of year.

That, as it turns out, is not a good time to be doing pole dancing in the lab.
Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Evidently some scientifically challenged denialists ("Pornocopians") had created, out of thin air, a concept which they call "climate porn."

Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Dredd Blog has been fingered by the Pornocopians as a mover and shaker of the climate porn world.

In a book written by an Oil-Qaeda operative, Dredd Blog gender metaphors  were seen as code red climate porn (Oil-Qaeda & MOMCOM Conspire To Commit Depraved-Heart Murder- 6).

Anyway, just to let them know that I understand, in the first post I wrote:
"Global warming science deniers call depictions of scientific reality "porn" for some lack of reason.

Evidently, the Alabama governor who just resigned and was arrested was looking at Dredd Blog sea-ice graphs with an assistant.

He and his top assistant suddenly lost all control to the point that he and she irresistibly pulled off their clothes and porned out while viewing those porny Dredd Blog sea-ice graphs, which his wife had warned him about (Wife Revenge).

The Alabama legislature is said to be hurrying a bill to protect their next governor from such titillating science porn found on Dredd Blog.

Yep, the 'Bama Holy Rollers are banishing any and all such science porn from their kingdom like N. Carolina did (Will This Float Your Boat - 3)."
(Pole Dancing In The Lab). So, I give fair warning to any denier who reads Dredd Blog.

I urge them to be careful so that they will not get too involved with today's graphs, because they are just as spot on as the last ones were.

The ones that drove the governor and his assistant over the edge of the beautifully-flat Earth (Once Upon A Time In The West - 2).


Now that those who are too sexy for their shirts have been warned, let's contemplate this year's graphs.

They tell the same story that last year's graphs did, which is that the polar sea ice is diminishing.

For the Arctic, the ice loss has been a record year, surpassing the record set in 2012.

The years 2017 and 2018 have significantly broken the minimum sea ice extent record once held by the year 2012.

The graph at Fig. 1 shows both the Southern sea ice (Antarctica) and the Northern sea ice (Arctic) on one graph.

The graph at Fig. 2 focuses exclusively on Antarctica, while the graph at Fig. 3 focuses exclusively on the Arctic sea ice.

The final graph of history-only records, Fig. 4, shows both Arctic and Antarctic sea ice conditions for 2018, up until April 17.

And the porniest graph of all Fig. 5, has the audacity to project when the first sea-ice free summer will take place in the Arctic, and blush, it also projects when the first sea-ice free winter will take place ... (Watching The Arctic Die, 2, 3, 4).

The previous post in this series is here.